Terror dividend for Southeast Asia
Yesterday's annual ASEAN meeting, attended by Colin Powell, led to a new antiterror declaration.
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However, it is nonbinding, and regional analysts say what happens on the sidelines is often more important than the official agenda. Wednesday, for example, Powell had coffee with North Korean Foreign Minister Paek Nam Sun. The first high-level contact between the two countries since Bush came to power has nudged the governments closer to reopening dialogue on weapons control.
Perhaps the biggest winner of the new US approach to Southeast Asia has been Indonesia, the world's largest Muslim country. The Bush administration is currently pushing to restore ties with the Indonesian military that were cut off by Congress in 1999 because of concern over human rights violations in independence-seeking East Timor.
"If Secretary Powell goes ahead, the United States will strengthen the military at the expense of civilian institutions and send the wrong signal to Indonesia's leaders," said Mike Jendrzejczyk at Human Rights Watch in Washington in a statement on Powell's visit. The administration is currently proposing a package of training measures for both the Indonesian military and police. This year, a Pakistani and Kuwaiti who the US alleges are Al Qaeda agents were secretly deported by Indonesia's security services at the request of the CIA, and US officials say they want to reward Indonesian President Megawati Sukarnoputri for these and other unspecified incidents of assistance.
"They have been cooperating more fully with us as time goes by, and I'm quite sure that Mrs. Megawati is committed to this cause,'' Powell told reporters in Singapore on Tuesday. On Friday, he flies to Jakarta to meet with Megawati.
Ties with Malaysia have also warmed considerably. Bilateral relations plunged after the 1999 sodomy and corruption conviction of Prime Minister Mahathir Mohammad's political rival Anwar Ibrahim in what US officials said was an irregular trial.
But now even the fiery Mr. Mahathir has lined up behind the antiterror agenda, jailing dozens of alleged militants under the country's draconian Internal Security Act. Earlier this year, he was rewarded with his first visit to the White House in more than a decade.
Fear of militant Islam in Malaysia, stirred up by the terror war, has also helped Mahathir sideline domestic Islamic political opposition. Opponents have alleged that he's used the terror sweeps to round up legitimate political activists. Mr. Emmers says such issues, though touched on during Powell's visit, have been getting much less emphasis from the US.
In the Philippines, Powell's last stop in Southeast Asia, the US just finished its first full military deployment in the war on terror outside of Afghanistan. The six-month training mission in that country's south has helped Filipino forces nearly wipe out the Abu Sayyaf, a kidnap-for-ransom gang with historic ties to Al Qaeda. In all, Philippine's President Gloria Arroyo has secured $100 million in US military aid this year the first to its former colony since the Philippines voted to close US bases in the early 1990s.
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