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A peek into China's future

By Mary-Louise O'CallaghanSpecial to The Christian Science Monitor / October 17, 1984



Peking

In the last two years, Chongqing, a bustling port city in the middle of Communist China, has begun to take on a decidedly noncommunist appearance. Hong Kong fashions, motorbikes, linens, and other popular products fill the city's stores. Retail turnover has jumped 11.5 percent in the past year; profits have increased by twice that amount.

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Wages are rising as new bonus systems give each worker an 80 percent share in any profit increase. Free markets, restaurants, and private business are flourishing under official encouragement.

Words and concepts like ''egalitarianism'' are being replaced with slogans such as ''Time is money.'' And the ''psychology of the customer'' is suddenly paramount to the ''wishes of the the broad masses.''

Straddling the upper reaches of the Yangtze in Sichuan Province, Chongqing for the last two years has been host to the Communist leadership's first tentative experiments with urban reforms.

Last week the Communist leadership let it be known that the reforms that have transformed Chongqing are to be applied to the rest of the nation as the first step in dismantling China's centrally planned economy.

This decision is to be formally ratified in a major meeting of the Communist Party's Central Committee this week.

And so it is to the Chongqing region of 14 million that all eyes - Chinese and Western - have turned for some indication of what lies ahead for the world's largest communist nation if it sheds the very tenet of communist ideology.

The news is good and bad.

So far Chongqing's economy, which was expanded to include eight neighboring counties for the experiment, have experienced a boom. Industrial and agriculture output last year jumped by 11 percent to $5.5 billion.

The slow and inefficient supply of goods through state channels has been circumvented with the establishment of trade centers where anyone, including private traders, can buy any amount of goods at negotiated prices reflecting the market.

Some 750 state enterprises and collectives have been rationalized into 70 specialized corporations that practice complete autonomy in management and pay a tax to the state, instead of the old wholesale delivery of profits.

Skilled workers and graduates are being channeled through talent exchanges to postions where their skills are most wanted and best suited.

For private enterprises, the government bank is providing loans at floating interest rates, depending on the project and the market - something rarely seen before.

Responsibility for foreign trade and the power to negotiate contracts of up to $10 million in value has resulted in a jump in two-way trade to more than $70 million - a sixfold increase over the total trade for the previous four years.

For China's die-hard conservatives, committed to Marxism and highly suspicious of the Deng Xiaoping regime, the introduction of these reforms nationwide confirms their long-held fears of a leap into the capitalist pit. But if Chongqing is any indication, the decision to make such sweeping changes will only intensify the opposition to them. Since their introduction in 1982, even the most common-sense and innocuous reforms have been plagued by lack of cooperation and outright obstruction by party members struggling to hold onto their power.

''Although the economic reforms are good for the economy, we haven't really been able to bring them into full play,'' says Yang Yongun, an official of Chongqing's economic reform committee.